Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?

THE PANEL'S BRIEF, WRITTEN BEFORE THE OUTCOME

Panel leans YES, mean 72%, wide split from 98% to 30%

The panel mean is 72%, median 77%, with 16 of 20 models leaning YES. Most models place high probability on total domestic gross being less than 150m, producing a concentrated cluster above 70%. The panel splits strongly: the highest forecasts sit at 98% to 92%, the lowest at 39% to 30%. Many models did not record theses or drivers, so the numeric split is the clearest signal.

• Panel mean 72%, median 77%, lowest 30%, highest 98%.
• 16 of 20 models lean YES, indicating broad majority support for YES.
• Crowd price 37% sits well below the panel mean.
• High cluster: several models at or above 88%; low cluster: three models ≤39%.